Admin · lab
Alchemy bench.
Live engine scoreboard (v1.0.0 vs shadow variants) on top; historical walk-forward backtests below. v1.0.0 keeps running on the public site regardless of what's cooked here.
Live scoreboard · locked snapshots
| Ticker | T-5 | v1.0.0 tgt | v1.1.0 tgt | Δ target | v1.0.0 S | v1.1.0 S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EQIX | $1,094.34 | $1,092.86 | $1,100.29 | +0.68% | — | — |
| IEX | $204.79 | $206.56 | $208.83 | +1.11% | — | — |
| GEHC | $72.26 | $72.24 | $72.73 | +0.68% | — | — |
| REGN | $747.36 | $742.12 | $745.61 | +0.47% | — | — |
| BIIB | $185.95 | $185.69 | $185.49 | −0.11% | — | — |
| VMC | $290.72 | $291.54 | $293.27 | +0.60% | — | — |
| GRMN | $265.49 | $267.20 | $268.15 | +0.36% | — | — |
| ORLY | $93.81 | $93.72 | $94.16 | +0.48% | — | — |
| ODFL | $224.42 | $228.03 | $229.58 | +0.69% | — | — |
| VICI | $28.42 | $28.33 | $28.49 | +0.54% | — | — |
| CVNA | $400.92 | $435.71 | $417.03 | −4.66% | — | — |
| AWK | $132.05 | $131.06 | $131.32 | +0.20% | — | — |
| EME | $838.01 | $859.26 | $856.68 | −0.31% | — | — |
| SBAC | $213.10 | $245.54 | $250.47 | +2.31% | — | — |
| APH | $151.93 | $152.80 | $152.48 | −0.21% | — | — |
| SWK | $76.25 | $78.81 | $78.94 | +0.17% | — | — |
| ABBV | $205.12 | $203.84 | $204.53 | +0.33% | — | — |
| LII | $492.69 | $506.35 | $512.81 | +1.31% | — | — |
| REG | $80.01 | $79.74 | $80.12 | +0.48% | — | — |
| VRSK | $182.09 | $176.61 | $179.06 | +1.34% | — | — |
| INVH | $26.94 | $26.89 | $27.29 | +1.50% | — | — |
| GOOGL | $332.29 | $344.37 | $342.62 | −0.53% | — | — |
| CHRW | $183.64 | $185.31 | $185.29 | −0.01% | — | — |
| MGM | $39.11 | $38.63 | $38.87 | +0.59% | — | — |
| MAA | $125.74 | $125.42 | $126.33 | +0.72% | — | — |
| HUM | $217.36 | $227.97 | $225.34 | −1.21% | — | — |
| YUM | $160.34 | $158.81 | $159.38 | +0.36% | — | — |
| UDR | $34.98 | $34.71 | $34.86 | +0.42% | — | — |
| META | $668.84 | $701.34 | $702.08 | +0.11% | — | — |
| ALGN | $195.20 | $198.27 | $198.54 | +0.14% | — | — |
| CTSH | $60.45 | $58.65 | $59.41 | +1.27% | — | — |
| AMZN | $249.91 | $258.36 | $261.02 | +1.07% | — | — |
| GD | $325.52 | $319.72 | $316.74 | −0.92% | — | — |
| CMG | $36.05 | $35.89 | $36.26 | +1.02% | — | — |
| BG | $125.83 | $126.56 | $126.17 | −0.31% | — | — |
| AFL | $115.97 | $116.26 | $117.41 | +0.99% | — | — |
| EG | $349.82 | $350.33 | $353.33 | +0.86% | — | — |
| F | $12.78 | $12.89 | $12.93 | +0.26% | — | — |
| ALL | $216.34 | $215.24 | $216.11 | +0.40% | — | — |
| TYL | $341.46 | $328.65 | $335.58 | +2.03% | — | — |
| QCOM | $135.56 | $133.89 | $135.21 | +0.98% | — | — |
| GNRC | $213.85 | $213.35 | $213.16 | −0.09% | — | — |
| ADP | $202.87 | $200.34 | $202.01 | +0.82% | — | — |
| MSFT | $424.16 | $424.98 | $428.70 | +0.88% | — | — |
| ETR | $111.24 | $114.18 | $116.49 | +2.08% | — | — |
| APD | $294.78 | $292.39 | $294.50 | +0.71% | — | — |
| PSX | $159.38 | $156.64 | $156.55 | −0.06% | — | — |
Walk-forward backtests
runv1.0.0 per-ticker z (SURP off)n = 51S = 0.5520● activev1.0.0 per-ticker z (SURP on)n = 51S = 0.5622runv1.0.0 baseline (SURP off)n = 51S = 0.5047runv1.0.0 walk-forward (SURP on)n = 51S = 0.5047
| Ticker | T-5 | Target | Actual | Chance up | D | M | S |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TFC | $49.60 | $50.60 | $50.57 | 74% | 1 | 0.99 | 1.00 |
| PNC | $220.76 | $221.57 | $222.06 | 55% | 1 | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| KEY | $21.65 | $21.85 | $21.67 | 62% | 1 | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| FAST | $45.87 | $45.41 | $45.80 | 37% | 1 | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| GS | $866.05 | $880.24 | $890.79 | 65% | 1 | 0.87 | 0.94 |
| RF | $27.50 | $27.84 | $28.13 | 65% | 1 | 0.87 | 0.93 |
| TRV | $303.23 | $302.59 | $298.84 | 47% | 1 | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| FITB | $49.31 | $49.54 | $50.34 | 56% | 1 | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| SYF | $75.55 | $76.39 | $77.63 | 64% | 1 | 0.79 | 0.90 |
| BAC | $51.88 | $53.31 | $54.32 | 80% | 1 | 0.74 | 0.87 |
| EFX | $186.43 | $187.06 | $192.42 | 53% | 1 | 0.74 | 0.87 |
| STT | $139.42 | $142.52 | $145.43 | 76% | 1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| MMM | $152.55 | $151.47 | $148.47 | 42% | 1 | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| HAL | $37.51 | $39.32 | $38.15 | 84% | 1 | 0.71 | 0.85 |
| MKC | $52.11 | $48.76 | $50.44 | 6% | 1 | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| DAL | $67.60 | $70.56 | $68.08 | 75% | 1 | 0.70 | 0.85 |
| BK | $128.58 | $132.00 | $134.84 | 84% | 1 | 0.67 | 0.83 |
| PLD | $138.02 | $138.55 | $142.17 | 55% | 1 | 0.61 | 0.81 |
| FDS | $197.40 | $200.10 | $216.99 | 61% | 1 | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| SCHW | $97.27 | $97.18 | $92.62 | 49% | 1 | 0.39 | 0.70 |
| JBHT | $224.63 | $225.02 | $238.32 | 52% | 1 | 0.36 | 0.68 |
| MS | $176.02 | $178.64 | $191.62 | 64% | 1 | 0.25 | 0.62 |
| C | $117.13 | $121.13 | $129.58 | 77% | 1 | 0.23 | 0.62 |
| RTX | $202.81 | $198.47 | $187.17 | 24% | 1 | 0.17 | 0.58 |
| ABT | $102.72 | $101.24 | $95.47 | 28% | 1 | 0.11 | 0.56 |
| DHI | $145.25 | $145.99 | $162.20 | 54% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| BLK | $958.46 | $965.02 | $1,054.56 | 57% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| STLD | $195.47 | $200.58 | $220.21 | 71% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| NKE | $53.49 | $52.06 | $44.63 | 20% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| UNH | $314.19 | $318.64 | $346.01 | 60% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| NOC | $680.13 | $661.83 | $611.13 | 20% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| NTRS | $155.82 | $157.47 | $171.74 | 63% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| TSCO | $45.02 | $43.79 | $39.57 | 26% | 1 | 0.00 | 0.50 |
| WFC | $81.75 | $81.95 | $81.70 | 53% | 0 | 0.96 | 0.48 |
| PEP | $157.49 | $156.70 | $158.38 | 43% | 0 | 0.83 | 0.41 |
| MTB | $219.04 | $221.12 | $217.10 | 62% | 0 | 0.74 | 0.37 |
| USB | $56.33 | $56.51 | $55.48 | 55% | 0 | 0.74 | 0.37 |
| CCL | $24.12 | $22.93 | $24.19 | 27% | 0 | 0.70 | 0.35 |
| JNJ | $238.41 | $236.39 | $240.10 | 33% | 0 | 0.70 | 0.35 |
| CAG | $15.32 | $14.89 | $15.52 | 30% | 0 | 0.64 | 0.32 |
| CFG | $64.97 | $66.29 | $64.41 | 70% | 0 | 0.63 | 0.32 |
| PGR | $198.09 | $195.39 | $201.23 | 32% | 0 | 0.57 | 0.29 |
| DHR | $198.61 | $203.11 | $194.54 | 72% | 0 | 0.46 | 0.23 |
| NFLX | $102.05 | $102.31 | $97.31 | 53% | 0 | 0.43 | 0.22 |
| GPC | $109.90 | $109.18 | $115.00 | 44% | 0 | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| JPM | $297.40 | $296.82 | $311.12 | 47% | 0 | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| MRSH | $173.14 | $172.35 | $182.57 | 45% | 0 | 0.18 | 0.09 |
| DGX | $194.16 | $192.18 | $205.04 | 33% | 0 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| MSCI | $545.69 | $537.43 | $597.39 | 33% | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| STZ | $151.09 | $150.10 | $163.07 | 39% | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| GE | $318.00 | $328.59 | $286.73 | 71% | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |